Trans-Siberian
My mom just sent me the Lonely Planet's trans-Siberian guide, as part of an extended birthday present.
First thought: Man, this is going to be more expensive than I thought. Russia is *way* pricier than China.
Second thought: Damn. Cool stuff.
Third thought: 30 day automatic stay in Mongolia for US citizens? hmmm....
So I'm pretty jazzed, yeah.
How are you?
First thought: Man, this is going to be more expensive than I thought. Russia is *way* pricier than China.
Second thought: Damn. Cool stuff.
Third thought: 30 day automatic stay in Mongolia for US citizens? hmmm....
So I'm pretty jazzed, yeah.
How are you?
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They have to keep the Gulags full somehow.
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yrs--
--Ben
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--Ben
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And wow, 20 yuan, for a dorm room? That's cheap as fuck.
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yrs--
--Ben
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Do you have any recommendations for a tourist in Russia?
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yrs--
--Ben
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I dunno, I think China is taking a big risk. A lot of countries try to keep their currencies artificially low - the US arguably did so from 1945-70. But there are a lot of differences - the US was selling to its own markets, its currency was strong when it started, it didn't have to play too many weird games to keep its currency low. And we still took a major hit when Nixon revalued the dollar.
China is largely exporting. Its effectivelly exporting its natural resources at a reduced price, which will do God knows what to its natural resources. The rate China has chosen for the Yuan isn't just low, its extremly low. And its keeping the Yuan low by, for all intents and purposes, shorting the Yuan againist the Dollar. Its insane. What the hell do they do if the US decides it wants a little inflation?
Anyway, sorry for ranting. The whole thing makes me very nervous. I worry that they're going to put off the devaluation for too long, so that when they do revalue, the tremors really do fuck the world economy.
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1) China has no natural resources to speak of, except farmland. Okay, and coal, but they don't export that, as far as I know.
2) China's economy is increasingly internalized. At this point, almost %70 of the goods manufactured in China stay in China, and that number is increasingly rapidly. I imagine the govt. will wait until that hits some magic number (probably %90) before a revaluation.
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--Ben